Early Edge 9/30

One of the most important pieces of successful sports betting is taking advantage of what I call the Early Edge. Getting the Early Edge means to place a bet on the opening line before more bets come in and change the line. For example, the books set the opening line for Team A vs Team B at Team A -3.5. If you and whatever system you like to use suggests that Team A should be favored by 6.5 or more, then this is a favorable line for Team A and should be bet early. Once you or others place bets on Team A, the books will move the line toward Team A. By the time gameday arrives the line could be Team A -6.5 and the edge you had will have disappeared. This means waiting cause you to lose out on the Early Edge. So come back every Tuesday and to get the Early Edge.

2024 Early Edge Record: ROI 8.06% Total 52-41 (55.9%) NFL 27-24 (52.9%) CFB 25-17 (56.8%)

2025 Early Edge Record: ROI -15.02% Total 10-12 (45.5%) NFL 5-6 (45.5%) CFB 5-6 (45.5%)

BYU -18.5

The Mountaineers have been awful in their two BIG 12 matchups and are playing without their QB. This should be an ugly one Friday Night.

UAB +7.5

The Blazers have had an extra week to prepare for a not very complicated offense. The Blazers can score too, but have been bad defensively. That extra week should be the difference.

Vikings -3.5

The Vikings are going up against that very tough Browns defense, but the Vikings defense will be the difference in this one. This will be a tight game, but the Vikings cover.

Broncos +4.5

Playing in Philly is no easy task, but the Broncos are hitting their stride and will give the Eagles a tough time. Give me the Broncos.

Saints +2.5

People are overreacting to Jaxson Dart and the Giants' first win. Dart did almost nothing in that game. The Saints will get their first win this weekend.